Sorry for being late today but I have only one pick for last group round and there is plenty of time to take it. Lithuania – LebanonLithuania is fast pace team and after playing against defensive teams like Canada, Spain and France market forgot about Lithuanian “overishness”. Lebanon is not a half-court team too and they also don’t have strong defense too.
China – Russia After the game with Cot’d Ivoire D.Blatt said that he does not want to be a coach of NT anymore. There are rumours that CSKA Moscow does not allow V.Khriapa to play with injury and Blatt is angry because of this. He needs Viktor on the field but he stays away from the game saying he is not ready yet. Today Khriapa again is questionable but if…
Third WC day has been splited into 2 calendar days to provide some rest for the teams so we have only six matches today and tomorrow. Yesterday we have a really great day so today we have to be careful and continue without any euphoria.
Turkey – Russia Turkey had 2 quarters when they scored 17 and 13 points to poor Cot d Ivoire defense. H.Turkoglu was 0/8 from the game and whole team showed just 43% FG against african defense. The only reason why they scored 86 points was high tempo. Accodring to my own stats it was 182 possesions game (USA had 184..)
Finland – ItalyLatvia – Israel Two very similar matches. Host sides has no realistic chances to promote from this group while Italy and Israel are fighting for best 2nd position in group and also they have to get there with best possible points margin to have advantage against group B and C opponents in case of tie-situation. So on one side handicaps set a bit higher than they should be…
As closer Eurobasket-2011 qualification campaign to its end the less value positions we get because more and more matches has less importance for teams. Today I think we have 2 matches with value bets so I will provide more analysis for these games.
Israel – Italy This is the last chance for Italy to get back into Eurobasket-2011 battle. After their loss to Montenegro they are in must win situation today because Israel won against them in Italy. Italians now have Giachetti on PG rotation and it is a big boost for them. Also Italy has much more time to prepare for this crucial battle because they did not play this weekend. Also…
Latvia – Finland The injury bug is biting again as Finland prepare to head to Latvia for Saturday’s EuroBasket qualifier. Finland will be without Kopponen (did not play single game at this qualification campaign), Mottola & Saanpaa (long term injuries – but both have started this qual. campaign), plus highly doubtful Raneku (15.5 ppg per 26 min) and Kotti is questionable (will play most probably with injury).
Georgia – Portugal Georgia is not a type of team which can easily cover such big handicaps because their offense is not so strong and they are not fast team too. Against slow paced Portugal it is hard to expect a lot of points but with Georgia domination under the boards everything is possible.
I am sorry for being short today. As for me lines are far from being ideal but it it still hard to evaluate teams real power because few matches were played and some teams like Italy, Israel and Bulgaria stiill have not show their real faces yet.