Eurobasket 2009. Day 12. Semifinals Betting Tips

eurotalismanI don’t have enough time for in-depth analysis writing so I will be short today on the semifinals.

Spain – Greece

Spain should be well rested and confident after 3 perfect games in a row. I like Spain defense at this moment and I expect them to start from it once again.

Greece should be tired physically and emotionally after lucky win over Turkey yesterday. Offensively Greece should experience problems because they will not any domination inside the pain while Spanoulis is their only man on fire from the guards line. He will be defended really hard today by Spain guards.

 

All in one Spain should take this one and go to the final. I think that under 150.5 is a good choice but for this bet to cover we need to hope that Spain will not score twelve 3-pointers or shoot with 78% from the paint as they did in last few games.

Slovenia – Serbia

Looks like Serbia is a public choice today but I disagree. Today’s line comes from line history when Serbia being a 2.5 pts favorite lost by 11 in the group stage after winning over Spain. After that they won games against easy opponents and lost to more solid Turkey. Ok, young Serbian team had 1 day more of rest and Slovenia’s leader had 39-40 minutes game yesterday.. But, but, but… Slovenia has more experience, more class and more physical power which really should be a factor today against young Serbian team.

Serbia is without doubt talented team and will be a dominating country in next 4-7 years in Europe but their time will come soon, while Slovenia momentum and peak of the career is right now in Katowice, Poland. Slovenia to win @ 1.93 at Betfair in very tough and ugly game – that’s is my prediction.

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