Eurobasket-2011. Day 10 picks

goran_dragicToday we have boring group F with 3 matches between teams than almost eliminated or qualified already. Only Slovenia is somewhere between these levels and that motivates them a little bit more than others. And my only pick for today’s matches comes from this match.

Slovenia – Macedonia

Slovenia still not qualified for quarterfinals but with a victory against qualified Macedonia they will make next stage of tournament. Macedonia surprised a lot of experts with their results but miracles ends sooner or later and game versus Geoorgia showed us more real Macedonia with very weak bench and poor shooting skills.  After qualifiying to next round it is time to rest leaders a little bit because most probably they will be needed fresh next week when Olympic tickets will be on stake. 

In preperations Macedonia had a tendency to allow many possession to physical teams. If coach will rest key players we will see how Slovenia old boys demolish young and less experienced on this level macedonians. So far Slovenia was not able to score a lot of points because most of their opponents were really good defensive team with low paced style. Macedonia also plays low paced basketball but I have big doubts that they can defend and super fast Dragic brothers, super-Lorbek and Lakovic on 3 point line at once.

All in one, I expect Slovenia to score 72-79 points and Macedonia will be limited to 61-68 points.

Pick: Slovenia over 72 @ 1.85 3/10 Expekt 
Pick: Slovenia (-6.5) @ 1.90 3/10 Expekt  

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