Eurobasket-2011. Day 16. Semifinal picks

franceBig tournaments as Eurobasket are always hard to make money and this one is not exception. So far I am far away from being in profit but with 3 days left I still want to be there and that’s why I will continue with low stakes in those matches where I have different like than bookies. 

Spain – Macedonia

Macedonia dream should end today. They are good team but their offensive game is not effective enough to be on one level with Spain. And also even with their best defensive effort they still are clear dogs in this match and nothing will help them.

Spain should take them seriuos and prove 2 classes difference between them. Bookies did good job by setting such high line for Spain but I think that even such big handicap could be easily beaten by Spain.

I expect to see Spain in 78-86 points range and Macedonia in 59-67 range. Easy double digit victory for Spain is predicted by me and I hope that it will be by 16 and more. Something like 81-64. Only low stakes recommended.

Pick: Spain (-15.5) @ 1.95 3/10 Bet365

France – Russia

France played for 5-6 minutes at their real level and they easily beat Greece. Tonight they should be more concerned about opponents level because they do remember well how Russian beat them in 2007 at QF stage. Now it is time to take revenge.

France for me is clearly better team with more talented players with deep bench and most important with good defense and offense that can play at high level even against good defense as Russian shows here in Lithuania.

I expect tough defensive battle where Russian will be limited to 59-66 points and France will finish in 66-72 points.

Pick: France ML @ 1.75 4/10 Pinnacle
Pick: under 136.5 @ 1.85 3/10 Ladbrokes

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