Eurobasket-2011. Day 2 picks and leans

Yesterday I was close to hit 3 of 4 but Lithuania showed something that tells a lot about their chances to get something seriuos this year. They lost 3rd quarter 5:18! 5 points per quarter something unbelievable for a team playing at home with such big crowd support. For today I have only one real pick. Also there some leans but it is too early to speak about maths, tempos and effictiveness. Only one real game played and simply not enough data to analyze.

My only pick comes from Group A where WC-2010 Silver medalist Turkey will exam Olympic Games onwer Great Britain team.

luol_dengTurkey – Great Britain

I do agree that Turkey is a team with history, good results and fresh memories. But also they never were good playing on tournaments outside of Turkey. And their real advantage over GB team this year is their deep roster.

With L.Deng, R.Archibald, J.Freeland. D.Clark and Lenzley they have enough power to fight with almost any European team. Today I expect them to defend better than yesterday because Turkey are not very good offensively and on other side GB offense could be explosive and various. Centers can finish under the baskets, Deng can score from any distance..

Probably Turkey have more chances to win this match but Great Britain also knows that Turkey is the team they can beat if they play their A game and if they win they can go next round. If not they need to win against Spain and this looks like mission impossible. So GB +9 with medium stake is one and only bet for today.

Pick: Great Britain +9 @ 1.90 Expekt

Other position that maybe called as tv-watching Eurobasket 2011 picks:

Spain – Portugal: under 148.5
Slovenia – Ukraine: Ukraine +11.5
Bulgaria – Belgium: Belgium to win

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