Semifinal. Serbia – Lithuania

ltu teamLithuania got its best form at right time, but unfortunately I can’t find reasons to put them at one level with todays opponent and see them closer than -5 handicap. Serbia has better players, wider selection, more experience at such level of games, so no suprise that bookmakers set them as -7 favorites. But at the same I am pretty sure that there is no value at such short odds in Serbia.

Lithuania got confidence in their last games. Maciulis playing like top-level player in last games, Valanciunas is at his NBA-level too, Kalnietis dished out 11 assists and scored 14 points vs. Italy, Seibutis added 9 assists (but was 3/10 FG). Playing at such level they can fight with Serbia and provide a suprise. But they will need to jump over their heads to get to the Final here (Czechs were not able to do this yesterday over Italy).

I like chances for under here, because I see here average pace games, and finally we should Under for Serbia at this tournament. They have 5 overs in a row and it’s time to back under. I expect to see Serbia at 77-82 points and Lithuania at 69-75.

Pick: Under 154.5 @ 1.92 Pinnacle

Paid picks

  • Latvia – Czech Republic

 

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