Euroleague Top-16. January 23rd picks

Jeremy Pargo (Maccabi)We have 4 games and 3 picks for tonight and ony of them is inside this articles together with preview of 3 games in Russia, Lithuania and Greece. 

Niznyj Novgorod – Efes Pilsen

Russian team proves that it deserves more each week, but their weak bench doesn’t allow them to get so needed victories. Efes improved its roster and is playing very effective basketball these days and I am full agree that they are favorites to win in Niznyj Novgorod. But also I am absolutely sure that this win would not be easy and it is better to wait for in-play odds on Efes Pilsen because we can them at 2.0 and higher there. Under is the same story. I don’t enough value in taking under at current line.

Zalgiris – Maccabi

Limoges, Alba, Cedevita – these teams has +- the same quality as Zalgiris. Maccabi won against them on their courts quite comfortable in regular season. But we should not forget also about Cedevita victory in Tel Aviv and ALBA being very close to it (Maccabi wasted their lead there). I don’t think that it will be easy for Maccabi, but I hold them as favs as well as bookies. No doubts who has better roster here and who plays better basketball, but unfortunately no value in odds.

As for the total I like chances for under, but only if game pace will be slow and Zalgiris will dictate it. The problem is with Maccabi, which like to impose its own rhytm and playing at home Zalgiris might be involved in faster basketball if their shots will fall in.

We need to wait for in-play opportunity to back under or Maccabi at better odds/line.

J.Pargo (Maccabi) over 12.5 pts @ 1.85 3/10

Pargo scored 20 points to Barcelona, 34 to Hapoel this weekend. He is scoring 20 points in average last 6 games and seems finaly got his role in this team. Expecting him to score 14+ points today.

Olympiacos – Laboral

On Sunday Laboral will host FC Barcelona in Spanish league and usually I avoid betting on Spanish team when they had such games in a few days. Normally I can’t see 11 points handicap between these teams, but if Laboral will have a bad day on offense or defense, than Olympiacos will take care about difference against direct competitor. Total line set correctly.

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