Brose Baskets – Regal Barcelona

NavarroAfter losing 5 away games in a row I expect Barcelona finally to get away win and send message to other better performing teams, that they are back. 

Very important game for both teams in terms of standings. Usually big team wins such games and I see some value in Barcelona at odds over 2,00.

Barcelona form is improving lately, starting to gain wins and show confidence in their game after all players returned to the roster. They easily won against Milan, Valencia and fight until the end and got a win over Darussafaka last week. At the beginning of 2017 they got another confidence booster in Zaragoza. 4 won games in a row against solid opponents (ok, Milan not so good one).

There is no important injury news too for both clubs. Jerel McNeal (came from Aris during transfer window) is ready to play his first game in Brose jersey. Barcelona comes with full roster except Perperouglu and long-time absentees Lawal and Ribas.

Brose Baskets is also hot team in last weeks, but I don’t want to overestimate their victories against weak Galatasaray away and injury-plagued Olympiacos at home. Barcelona is different class team, which struggled at the start of the campaign. But at the moment I’ve expected to see as road favorite here with with -2 spread.

Rice is much better than Zisis, Brose doesn’t have answer in paint for in-form Tomic. And Barceloma might offer even more problems for Brose: Dollman, Vezenkov, Oleson and Navarro. Their roster depth is so deep and high quality, that I can’t see what Brose might offer.

Total line analysis

  • Home avg. pace: 139 attacks (-)
  • Home avg. scoring: 1,16-1,21 pts/attack
  • Away average pace: 135 attacks (-)
  • Away avg. scoring: 0.97-1.03 pts/attack

As for the total I expect posession minded game with 137-139 attacks and around 150 pts at the end. But it’s hard to predict percentages, which are usually high in home games for Brose and low in Barca away games. It’s better to wait for in-play offers and take under 156+ points, in case of high scoring first half.

Prediction: Brose Baskets 74 – 79 Barcelona

Pick: Barcelona +2 @ 1.99 Pinnacle

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