CSKA – Fenerbahce

teodosic cska playmakerMilos Teodosic is questionable tonight for CSKA, as well as Nando De Colo. Fenerbahce comes to Moscow to repeat Euroleague Final Four 2016 final game.

 

It’s still uknown if Teodosic and De Colo are ready to play. But seems that Milos got rested on Tuesday to be ready for this game. Fenerbahce playing below expectations this season. Their defense is not so agressive as it was last season. They are 1-3 ATS in their last away games with one win against poor Milan. Their recent loss to Darussafaka proves that Z.Obradovic has huge difficulties with his team at the moment.

  • Home avg. pace: 153 attacks (+)
  • Home avg. scoring: 1,15 pts/attack
  • Away average pace: 144 attacks (-)
  • Away avg. scoring: 1.04 pts/attack

Fenerbahce has difficulties with handicaps in last few weeks (1-3 ATS in last 4 games overall and 1-3 ATS in last 4 away games). CSKA is 3-1 against the spread. in last 4 games. I think that market and public still overestimates last season Fenerbahce success, which has nothing common with their results this season. Without B.Bogdanovic Turkish team looks completely different team. As for me -8.5 line is more fair there by default, so we have minimal edge over the line + trend support to take this as system selection pick.

As for the total I expect up-tempo game with pace around 150 attacks. It gives us 156-172 range, but if we look to Fenerbahce results it’s hard to go for over against them.

Pick: CSKA (-8) @ 1.90 Pinnacle

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