Today we have 2 very interesting matches to watch. It’s hard to decide about bets in Hapoel-Nymburk game, but second quarterfinals has one interesting choice.
Hapoel Jerusalem – Nymburk
At first glance I was suprised to see Nymburk as 7.5 points undergod here. Ok, they were very mediocre team last season, but this year they signed 4 US players + they still have Tre Simmons, Rancik and Welsh. Quite good team on paper, but unfortunately for czechs conditions of Burns, Stutz, Raivio are really bad at the start of the season . Team again is not balanced, but this time they are not so young and unexperienced as they were last year.
Hapoel in different mood. They saved the core of the team from last season, they are won Supercup at new home arena and seems that key players are in good conditions.
I don’t see any single reason to back Hapoel at such short odds, because normally we have two teams from same class and line should be much closer to 1.90-1.90. Taking possible form advantage for Hapoel I would set spread here about 4 points. Bookies give us 7.5 but that’s too small value to back it.
Total is hard to predict. Both coaches like defensive approach but so far teams showed difference faces in preparation period. Seems that line is few points higher than it should be, but I really not sure about low scoring game and slow pace pace here.
Unics Kazan – Zielona Gora
Unics wanted to sign F.Katzikaris for new season but failed make a deal. And than they decided to hire Pedoulakis… who is not speaking English and will have just 2 greek players in Unics roster. I really can’t understand this decision. But, ok.. he is quite good coach in short-term goals and at least for now team should happy with him. Unics so far played just 3 games in preparation and obviously should be quite shaky in all areas. They have really solid roster, but at this momemnt of the season – it’s all about team chemistry and ability to play team basketball. And Zeliona Gura is a team which can demonstrate this.
Zeliona Gora saved the Polish core of the team Kosarek-Zamojski-Hrycaniuk + bench. They signed Hosley, Troutman and Burt. Very good additions which improves them comparing to last season when they played with unexperienced American players. Also they changed coach, but he knows team very well because he was an assistant here last season. So no suprise that at the start of the season team shows good basketball and managed to demolish Nymburk by 22 points last week. They are good defensively and quite skilled in offense with such players.
Unics is very motivated to win Qualification tournament, but we always have such team in this tournament and they lose every year. Zeliona Gura at this moment has everything to surprise stronger opponent. I can’t see Unics double-digit favorite here.
Pick: Zieliona Gora +13 @ 1.92 7/10 Pinnacle