Euroleague Games Preview: March 31

SpanoulisWe are going to see game of the week in Russia today between Khimki and Olympiacos, where playoff participation is on stake for both teams. I don’t see good bets there, so I decided to skip tonight card and offer free games preview to all readers. 

Lokomotiv – Unicaja

Cooley and Markovic are out for Unicaja, as well as Smith. Unicaja is not taking Euroleague seriously, and Plaza confirmed that this is just good training match. Without Cooley Unicaja have just one big man from main roster (Vasquez), but youngster Karahodzic travelled with a team and will get his minutes (he played several times in this competition before).

Lokomotiv is fighting for home court advantage and should win this game quite easy. The only problem is that Loko needs just a simple victory. No motivation to win by double digits and play defense for 40 minutes. I expect Loko to score 79-86 points, while Unicaja should not score more than 69 points, if Loko will play their normal defense.

Khimki – Olympiacos

Game of the week will be played in Moscow today. Khimki will have huge support, despite this arena is 20 km away from town.

Khimki seems to have Davis, while Olympiacos has Milutinov under question (but Lojeski is back to training process and Hunter recovered from injury).

As for me Khimki has better skilled players (Rice, Shved, Davis), but they are not good in mental aspect of the game, especially Shved and Davis. Olympiacos has less stars in their roster, but this is a game, where experience, mentality and defensive skills matters, and Oly is a better team.

I think that fair handicap here should be around -4 points, but everybody know Olympiacos situation and Khimki weakness in deciding game… Anyway I don’t see value in Olympiacos today, despite their chances to win and qood. I don’t like the price and that’s why I recommend to skip it.

Crvena Zvezda – Darussafaka

Crvena Zvezda needs one victory to claim playoff birth and this is their last home game against team, which is not motivated. But again.. price is just too low to take them, because fair spread should be around -6.5 points max.

As for the total my line here is ~152 points, but so far all 3 games in Komebank arena ended with under. Defense should be the key for success for the hosts again, and I am not sure about Crvena Zvezda abilities to score 80+ points.

Barcelona – Brose Baskets

Barcelona should win to avoid pressure in last round. They are better team of course by names, but this is also a final for Brose Baskets. Barcelona play very undpredictable in Euroleague this season, but still lost just two times at home. Brose has 3 away win, but two of them came against weak Darussafaka and Sassari.

As for me Barca is a little but overpriced today and Brose +10 could pretend for a small bet. Ribas, Lawal are out and Navarro doubtful for Barca today.

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