Euroleague Group C Preview

Group C

FC Barcelona (Spain)
FC Bayern (Germany)
Fenerbahce (Turkey)
EA7 Emporio Armani (Italy)
Panathinaikos (Greece)
PGE Turow (Poland)

If you are looking for death group in this Euroleague edition – you already found it. in group C we have 5 teams, which are aiming to be in playoffs, but one of them will be eliminated already after regular season.

Group winner

In my rating FC Barcelona is the strongest steam in Group C with Ulker just few steps lower. At least for now I see Barcelona as clear favorite everywhere, except Ulker home court where Obradovic team might be a small favorite.

With strong home court Barcelona should be able to take 5 wins at home and I expect them to take at least 3 wins away from home. 8-2 record should be enough to take first spot after regular season, because for other teams it will be really difficult to take games with ease even at home court.

Odds offered by bookmakers suits me because I would set Barcelona here as 1.60 favorite.

Top 2 Finish

Normally Fenerbahce has the best chance to take second spot. They saved players Obradovic want to leave after first season, made some very good signings and at home they will be difficult team to beat even for Barcelona. Panathinaikos and Milano this year has weaker teams and should fail in Turkey. However, still not sure that Ulker will be able to take away wins so easy as bookmakers expect, when they set 1.20 odds for Turkish team to finish in Top-2.

For me the value bet on this market is Bayern with 25.00. I can’t say that they are favorite in this race, but their roster is on the same level as Milan and better than PAO, which are priced as 3.50 and 3.00 respectively. So if we talk about value Bayern is the pick.

To Qualify for Top-16

Turow is a no-runner here. With such roster I would be suprised to see them ending with 2 wins at least. Each team in this group will be extremely motivated not to lose points against them. Barcelona is 100% in Top-16. And we have 4 teams for 3 positions. Who is the weakest link?

It is very diffucult to predict who will leave Euroleague in Group C after regular season. A lot will depend on game development, injuries and other factors. At the start of the season I can’t understand what PAO is doing on transfer market. Looking from the stands it seems that they decided to destroy everything what connects with Obradovic era and they are looking like a top team anymore. Milan and Bayern doing more or less correct steps to stay on that level, they already reached. So my prediction is PAO finish on 5 place. But I would not risk any cent to bet on this. It’s just a preseason opinion.

Recommended bets

Barcelona to win group C @ 2.15 Bet365
Bayern to finish in Top 2 @ 25 Unibet

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