Euroleague Top-16 phase take start and we are entering the most active phase of Euroleague which includes 14 rounds. Today I would like to offer to 2 bets where I see good chances for winning.
Galatasaray – Maccabi
Maccabi has best away defense which allowed just 69.5 points from 85 possessions in regular phase. Today they will play against Galatasaray team which is one of the slowest team in Euroleague with just 2 games played over 160 possessions . It was against run-and-gun Bayern and Trabzonspor in TBL. Maccabi relies on half court basketball too and expect this game to be quite slow one and with defense prevailing over offense.
Both teams doesn’t have highly effective offense, but defensively looks very good. Normally we should get 144 points line for 156-160 possessions game, but in this pair I think we expect below-the-average percentage and that will lead to 133-142 points game.
Pick: under 146 @ 1.89 4/10 Pinnacle
Unicaja – Kutxa Laboral
Laboral has octan-power offense these days with 80+ points scored in each of last 5 games. The problem is their defense which is allowing 83.5 points in last 6 games. This number would be even higher if Lokomotiv would not stop playing after scoring 47 points in first 20 minutes. F.Cassieur is back for Laboral and also G.Poetta joined them this week. T.Pleiss expected to play after missing last games.
Unicaja is an uptempo team when they play at home, but they fail to push pace when opponent has good defense. They played in slow and defensive group in regular phase but against Laboral they will play much faster and I hope that they will be able to use Laboral defensive weakness.
I expect both teams to score 75 points here and 158.5 total would look more logical here.
Pick: over 154 @ 1.90 4/10 Bet365