Also real motivation of qualified team is also questionable, because we have only one playoff stage. Home court is only important thing for Top-4 teams, but Fenerbahce has too big lead over PAO to lose it.
The only selection for today is CSKA – Galatasaray game. Pick was sent to paid subscribers and will not be available for free, but you can read previews for other games below free of charge.
Fenerbahce – Baskonia
My line: (-8.5/158)
Baskonia without Bargnani tonight (not so important for them), but with 3 rotation players in doubt (Laprovitolla, Budinger and Shengelia). Seems that Budinger is out, two other are more like game-time decision. For Fenerbahce Sloukas is out and Ekpe Udoh is game time decision.
Both teams won important games last week and seems that this week not so much carry about Euroleague. Fenerbahce at home should win, but odds are poor to take them.
Zalgiris – Panathinaikos
My line: (+0.5/149.5)
PAO management and coaching staff decided to remove A.Gentile from team last week. J.Gist should return to the field tonight. Zalgiris takes this game very seriously. They are still in the “playoffs game” and everybody in Kaunas wants to be there.
In away games Panathinaikos often looks lazy and not concentrated. They are just 2-6 ATS in last 8 away games and it’s good sign for Zalgiris to get positive result.
Small value is on Zalgiris @ 2.12, but it’s not big enough for a bet. Total line looks more or less correct.
Maccabi – Milan
My line: (-4/167)
Both teams 98% out of competition. Both with huge roster problems. Goudelock is out for 1 month after knee surgery, Q.Miller out, but D.Smith should be back. For Milan Kalnietis, Simon and Dragic out, also they will miss head coach in this game. I prefer to stay away from games like this one.
FC Barcelona Regal – Unics
Barcelona – Unics
My line: (-9.5/153.5)
Another no-bet game for me. Barcelona not playing well as a team, Unics looks a little bit more balanced and with better chemistry.
Unics victory in Barcelona will not surprise me, but value on away side has been “killed” by the bookmakers. Don’t forget that Barca won in Kazan being -3.5 road favorite. That should lead to -12.5 line at home, but their season performance forced bookmakers to adjust their ranking. Now it is just fair..