Euroleague Qualification. Semifinal Picks

langfordFirst I would to congratulate you all with first winning pick in this season! Tonight we have 2 excellent games to watch and 2 picks. 

Asvel – Strasbourg

I really can’t understand for what reason Strasbourg is favorite here. Asvel dreaming about Euroleague for a few years and force its form to show its best basketall right now, right here, while Strasbourg still in construction mode and this about LNB and Eurocup mostly. Asvel beat Barcelona last week and it proves one more time how good are they these days. But public still looks to the past and Strasbourg confident win over Riga. But Riga is very weak team this year and Asvel is much better than last season.

I agree that fair line on neutral should be close to even chances, but I am absolutely suprised to see Asvel as underdog here. I would skip this match if Asvel would be set as slight favorite, but with these odds it is clear value for me.

Pick: Asvel to win @ 2.11 6/10 Pinnacle

Unics – Hapoel

Unics is playing slow basketball under Pedoulakis and has very agressive defense. They limited Zelena Gura offense to 0.72 pts/possession in first half, but relaxed after the break and allowed 6:20 run in next 6 minutes. Than defense again reappeared and Gura scored just 2 points in next 4 minutes. I am quite sure about Unics defensive abilities against Hapoel players and very surprised to see such high total for this game.

I expect low pace game here where both teams will stay under 80 points. For me Unics defense is more than able to stop Hapoel under 74 points, but I doubt that Unics will be again so good from 3-points line. Hapoel coach is also defensive minded specialist and should find defensive plan for this game. Anyway 160+ points line is too high for this match.

Pick: under 160 @ 1.97 7/10 Pinnacle

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