Euroleague Qualifying Round. Final.

geceviusLietuvos Rytas – Oostende

Quite surprising to see Oostende in Euroleague Qualification final but at this time of the season such miracles often happens. But playing 3 days in a row I hardly imagine another surprising result from Belgium team.

Lietuvos Rytas has unique chance to qualify to Euroleague and will take Oostende seriously, because Oostende showed what they can do if you understimate them. Yesterday Rytas had an off-day in defense allowing 89 points and scoring 97 (thanks to Gecevicius 8/10 3-pointers). But seems that tonight Dirk Bauermann will ask for solid defense and this is the only way how you can win such BIG game.

Oostende played two offensive minded team who were not playing defense against them so far and they scored 80+ points in both games. But playing 3 games in 3 days is difficult and with Rytas defensive pressure I expect Oostende to fail offensively. Actually they don’t have strong inside game and they spent a lot of time to find holes in opponent defense. All this should lead to slow-paced game where I hardly see Oostende scoring more than 74 points and if to be honest I think that Oostende will finish between 67 and 75 points. But defensively they should be able to stop Rytas under 83 points.

Relatively fresh Lietuvos Rytas which played 2 easy games and had one additional rest day should win tonight, but I don’t like the handicap. Total under looks very promising because this game should be not fast and has good chances to end in 142-155 points range.

Pick: under 154 @ 1.84 4/10 SBOBet

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