Yesterday all favorites covered, except those who were wrong favorites (Valencia). So today we should expect some return from uderdogs and here are two out of 3 positions, which I like the most.
Unics – Real Madrid
Unics has good roster by names and should be very motivated today after opening loss to Efes. They have very quality roster with deep bench, but seems that team is missing something. Maybe they need another coach, maybe few more games together or just a big home game like this one? Not sure, what exactly but what I am sure that Real should get around -7.5 spread on neutral field and in Kazan it should be around 3.5 points.
Real signed Maciulius, Campazzo, Nocioni, Ayon, Rivers.. Most of them needs more time to adapt to the system of P.Lasso. Old faces also not looking at their best conditions, which helped this team to win easily games and covers spreads last season in Euroleague. This is totally different season for Real Madrid, and seems that now they know that best form should be achieved in the middle of May. Not right now.
Real had two difficult wins over Zalgiris and Joventud last week, now long long travel to Russia & back, while Unics is preparing for this match since last week. Don’t give too much attention to VTB league results. Russian clubs don’t take this competition seriously because of its format till playoffs. This game is what Kazan waited for few years and I expect them to give everything here for a win.
Pick: Unics +6.5 @ 1.92 Pinnacle
Sassari – Efes Pilsen
In my rating Sassari is the weakest team in this group, while Efes is 3rd after Unics and Real. Sassari has very weak bench, and to be honest until the end they have only one player of Euroleague level – David Logan. Maybe Sanders is close to this level too but all others are not ready to play on this level.
Efes Pilsen has 5 Euroleague level players (Perperouglou, Bjelica, Krstic, Lasme, Saric) + supporting staff has experience on this level (Balbay, Janning, Draper, Osman + new addition McGrath). But what like in this match up – is defensive game, where Efes has clear advantage.
I can agree that Efes is not the best team in the world to back in away matches, but with 7 points value – it’s worth to try for sure. Efes is much better team and I expect them to win tonight.
Pick: Efes Pilsen to win @ 2.20 Pinnacle
Unicaja – ALBA
Limoges – Cedevita
Olympiacos – Kutxa Laboral
Zalgiris – N.Novgorod