Euroleague Top-16. February 5 picks

spanoulisToday we have 5 bets in paid subscription and 2 of them listed in todays free edition. 

Real Madrid – Regal Barcelona

Barcelona still without Oleson and Navarro and it doesn’t allow them to stand on the same level with Real in my rating. These 2 players are very important for catalan team and they can compensate them. Real has all players available and their motivation today is much higher, especially after loss to Maccabi. But R.Fernandez, S.Rodrigues and some others like to play big games and don’t give 100% in others. Real with try to revenge Barcelona for away loss in Spain league, when Real was in bad physical conditions with S.Rodriguez returning from injury.

Usually games between these teams goes in very fast pace and this game is played in Madrid, where hosts should dictate their pace and get some referee support. By the way referees today are quite overish guys. I checked their last game and found that most of their games ends with 45-55 fouls whistled and often team do more than 50 FT. This should help us in over bet here.

Statistically I see Real scoring 82-89 points and Barcelona scoring 75-85. Still there is small room for 157-160 points, but I decided to go with over here.

Pick: Over 160 @ 1.93 Pinnacle

Galatasaray – Maccabi

C.Arroyo and V.Micov seems to be out for Galatasaray, but turkish team still has enough players in rotation to play basketball and compete at this level. The important thing is that this game will be first in Top-16 when Gala will 
have their fans with them and that could be a really important factor.

If both teams would be full – I would set Galatasaray as 2 points favorite here, but now we get almost 7 points of handicap on them due the 2 injured players. It will be difficult for Maccabi to win in Turkey and I decided to go with hosts here, because system supports this bet and we should continue to lay Maccabi in away games after they won 4 spreads in a row there.

Pick: Galatasaray +7 @ 1.87 Pinnacle

Paid subscription

Olympiacos – CSKA

Crvena Zvezda – Zalgiris

 

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