Euroleague Top-16. Fenerbahce – Unicaja

caleb unicajaUnicaja lost all respect and now we are getting 11.5 handicap on a team which tops spanish league at the moment…. Ok, they are not stronger than Real or Barcelona in terms of roster quality, but their results in best european league show their potential.

Today Plaza will have almost full roster (only Vasilidiadis missing) and Unicaja will play with no pressure against opponent who hurted them in Malaga. Unicaja coach talking about this game importance for his team, but I don’t trust his words. I just believe that Unicaja does not deserve 10 points handicap against Ulker.

On other side we have Fenerbahce Ulker which is doing miracles in Euroleague. They already 9 won spreads in a row in away games and currently are on 5-0 streak in last 5 games. They are playing very nice basketball, but now lines overestimate their quality a bit and this is a good chance to go against them. To cover such lines against good teams like Unicaja they must show A++ game but it’s not easy to do in each game. I go with my system here, which is waiting when Ulker betting form will start to struggle. It almost happen last week vs. Milan, but 33:16 run in 4th quarted decided the spread again. I hope that Unicaja will do its best tonight and give Ulker a real challenge.

Ulker is not so good defensively to hold Unicaja under 75 points. Unicaja playing with full roster should find the way to score up to 78-79 points. But Ulker still strong favorite to win this game, and for this they should score 2-3 points more than opponent. They always tends to play like this: we can score more than you can. I expect to see here 162+ points game.

Pick: over 159.5 @ 1.95 Pinnacle

Pick: Unicaja +10.5 @ 1.90 Bet365

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