We have very interesting day today with 7 picks in 5 games. I decided to fully open one game, which has 3 picks inside and hope that these selections will bring us a profit this evening.
Laboral – N.Novgorod
I see huge class difference between teams here, especially on the bench, where basques team should overrun, overscore and overpower weak bench of Niznyj Novgorod. Class difference is a little bit more than PAO has over Zalgiris, but in Greece we have -9.5 (and fair is -12.5) and here just 6 points of spread? Absolutely must-bet position for me, especially looking into Laboral progress in last matches and 0-2 in the table.
As for the over pick.. I expect very high pace in this game, because both teams likes to run the floor and don’t like long possessions in offense. Niznyj Novgorod defense is not very trustable. On bad opponents day they can defend well, but on a good day they can allow up to 90 points. And I hope that Laboral will be able to show their level of offense at home court, where they usually play with very good percentage from all zones. I expect Laboral to score 84-90 points today and Niznyj Novgorod should finish around 75.
Fernando San Emeterio had a bad game against Efes and was rested against CSKA + was not very effective in EL games at the end of regular season, but in Spain he is scoring 13.8 pts in last 5 games. He is a true leader of this team and should lead his team to first victory in Top-16. I would set 12.5 points for him.