Euroleague Top-16. January 29 picks

kim tillie laboral kutxa vitoria eb14We have 5 games tonight in a schedule and I am glad to preview 3 of them on a free basis. 2 more picks and game previews were sent to paid members

Maccabi – Real Madrid

Real form is improving week by week. Their goal is to win games – and they perform well. They don’t care a lot about trashing opponents, but they are 5-0 against the spread in last 5 Euroleague games. And normally we should lay this streak. But on other side we have Maccabi which is on 3-0 ATS streak at home and I am quite happy about this, because I don’t want to go against Real, which is going to revenge for loss in last year Euroleague Final.

I am closer to bet on Real but would like to see 1.90 on money line. At this price – it’s better to skip and wait for better odds on Real at in-play market.

Crvena Zvezda – ALBA

Crvena Zvezda is 0-4 against the spread in Top-16 and it’s time to jump on them, despite I don’t see enough value in current odds. But I am quite sure about Zvezda ability to win by 6 and more points against team, which doesn’t have answer for B.Marjanovic under the rim. Motivation is also on Zvezda side and I hope they will stop this losing run today, but this a system bet and nothing more.

As I said Boban Marjanovic will be a main option in Zvezda offense today. Radosevic has 2.08 m, Banic 2.04 and both are weak defenders. Boban should dominate the paint today and I am sure that Radonjic will use a lot today. Boban usually strugles to score against big and massive center, but when he has height advantage he rebounds and scores very easy. I expect him to score 15-16 points tonight.

Pick: Crvena Zvezda (-5.5) @ 1.94 Pinnacle
Pick: B.Marjanovic over 13.5 @ 1.85 Sportingbet

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