Euroleague Top-16. January 2nd Picks

Tonight we have very interesting day in Euroleague and I decided to give 3 free picks (out of 6).

Crvena Zvezda – Real Madrid

Whole betting world is on Zvezda spread today. But I think that bookmakers did their job well, when they decided to set Real as strong favorite in Belrgade. Crvena Zvezda survived in quite easy group, full of bad playing teams and weak Neptunas. Both games against Olympiacos which is one or two classes lower than Real were lost and now all believe that Crvena Zvezda will provide big game against Real Madrid… Now when line dropped to -4.5 – I see minimal value in them and also my system supports this bet because Zvezda is on huge 6-0 ATS run (if we take 40 minutes result).

Another bet I like here is under 157.5. Zvezda offensive performance should be in trouble today, because Madrid centers (Ayon, Reyes, Mejri, Bouroussis) should be able to stop Marjanovic under the board and limit red-white easy points. Crvena doing 16 turnovers per game too and with such poor effectiveness it will be hard to show high quality offense tonight.

I expect Real to hold Crvena Zvezda in 68-75 points range. On other Crvena Zvezda defense has enough quality to prevent Real from scoring 80+ points. But even if Real will score 80-83 points we still can win an under bet.

Pick: Real Madrid -4 @ 1.93 Pinnacle
Pick: Under 157.5 @ 1.92 Pinnacle

Laboral – Efes Pilsen

Laboral continue to shake up its roster. Now their main point guard Tomas Heurtel went to… Efes Pilsen. L.Hamilton terminated his contract due disciplinary reason. S.Vujacic after his contract expried went to Turkey, B.Harbsrough was signed last week, but nobody knows if he will play today. Each week new players come and go to Laboral and it absolutely normal to see them losing games to the better playing teams. Laboral has normal and quite deep roster, but their game is not looking good and that’s why I can see only one winner here in this game – Efes Pilsen.

Efes Pilsen on other side showed that they can play against anyone in Europe. They were leading during 3rd quarter in Madrid against mighty Real. They signed T.Heurtel, Krstic is back too and they are looking like complete team. They should feel well in offense against defense-less Laboral and defensively should be able to stop Laboral in key moments of the game.

I would not be suprised with easy of win of Efes Pilsen here. 

Pick: Efes Pilsen @ 1.94 Pinnacle

 

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