Euroleague Top-16. January 8 Picks

rudy marjonovicDue the technical issues I was not able to post on time. But now everything seems fine and we can enjoy another euroleague day.

CSKA – Laboral

we can expect high paced game here, because both teams have powerful offense but CSKA can turn on their defense at any time (if needed). At home they usually not playing at their maximum level defensively, because they can score 90 points to any team. Laboral coach wants to see better defense from his team, but you must have defensive formation players to stop opponents attacks. Unfortunately Laboral this year does not have such players and that would be big surprise if they will find defensive solutions for CSKA offense today.

As for the spread I think that best choice here is to wait for in-play market and catch Laboral +19 (and higher) during the first half or at half time. CSKA likes to start strong, but Laboral should not lose by more than 21 points.

Real – Galatasaray

On weekend Real will host Laboral and I have doubts about their motivation to trash Galatasaray this evening. For sure, they will win, but turkish team is hard to push with big margin, because they play simple but effective basketball on offense. Also Erzeg and Pocius should be extra motivated against team which decided not to sign Erzeg and cut Pocius few seasons ago.One more reason to against Real today is that they are on 3-0 ATS streak being just 4-7 against the spread for season. And Galatasaray is also on 0-3 ATS streak in away games.

Maccabi – Crvena Zvezda

Once again we see situation, where public believe in Crvena Zvezda. Bookies again did their job well, when they set -7.5 spread here, but market responded with heavy money flow on serbian team. Now we see just 5-5.5 points on Maccabi and it means that Crvena is on the same level with Maccabi. And I can’t agree with this, because Maccabi has much better and experienced players and they are very hard to beat at home.

Both teams after loss in first game of Top-16, but Maccabi at home should prove its class and win this match. Last year Maccabi won 96:82 at home and 78:76 and nothing has changed in terms of team levels. I expect Maccabi to win this match and there is a good chance of 5+ pts win. Crvena Zvezda has won 4 away in a row and now it’s time to end this streak.

Pick: Maccabi (-5) @ 1.93

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