So far we have 7 of 10 bets won (1 void) in 2015 and I hope we will be able to mantain this level till the end of the season. But today we have very tricky and difficult lines and we should be very careful with stakes, because normally it is better to stay away from games like these. All lines set pretty correct and I have just 2 bets for tonight: one was already sent to paid subscribers and another will be listed here as free selection together with preview of game in Russia.
Niznyj Novgorod – Fenerbahce Ulker
Despite all the suprising results russian team have provided this year by beating Unics, fight with Real, away win against Efes and Milan they still don’t get enough respect from bookmakers. And they (bookmakers) are absolutely right in this situation because Niznyj Novgorod has just 7 players of Euroleague level and sooner or later they will collapse.
Ulker comes to Russia after defeat against CSKA and this is a must win game for them, because unit March they have 5 away games in the schedule and 2 home games. They can’t lose points in Russia, because Niznyj Novgorod is weakest team in the group and most of the teams will take points here.
The problem here is that bookies set right estimations here. Ulker should get -6.5 spread here and there is no value in picking them at current price. I prefer to wait for in-play and get Ulker ML at 1.90 in first half. They are not very good travellers and might allow up and downs during the game.
Total is few points lower than it should be, but line goes in under direction, so let’s wait few hours to decide with a bet here.
Zalgiris – ALBA
Zalgiris in must-win situation here after loss to Galatasaray. Normally lithuanians teams always wins against german team in Euroleague, but this year S.Obradovic has very nice team, which managed to beat San Antonio Spurs in pre-season and last week won against Barcelona. Some people can say that they also lost by big margins to CSKA and Maccabi, but their goal was to enter Top-16 phase without wasting energy in each Euroleague game. They did it and seems that now they will die in each Euroleague game to reach playoff stage. At least now with victory against big team in their hands they have chance to fight for place there and I am sure that ALBA will do its best to win in Kaunas and get another win, which may help them to improve ranking.
I expect tough game for both teams here. ALBA usually looks very solid defensivele against team of their level and Zalgiris offense is still the worst one in Euroleague. I hardly see Zalgiris scoring more than 75 points tonight, even in case of their victory.
Pick: Zalgiris under 76 @ 1.90 Pinnacle
Efes Pilsen – Unicaja
Barcelona – Panathinaikos