Euroleague Top-16. January 9th Picks

huertas-sipahiI don’t like a lot tonight Euroleague betting cart because bookies once again did a very good job. Seems that they expect underish game in Ulker and Maccabi win against Lokomotiv, with Olympiacos and Bayern taking their victories. Let’s if they right. I will offer only one stake which I like mostly this evening.

Fenerbahce Ulker – Barcelona

For me it is hard to decide about side betting here. From one side I like Barcelona chances here, because Ulker is not playing at superb level like they did in the beginning of the season, while Barcelona is improving. On other side Obradovic is 9-2 against Pasqual as coach and Ulker after loss, while Barca is after win in Euroleague. So I will try to find logical bet in over/under markets.

Ulker is playing fast basketball and Barcelona is a type of team which can agree to it, until they see that their offense is working. With Oleson, Lorber and in-form Navarro is much better team that scored 70 points here in Week 2 or regular season. However, on that black day they scored 6/30 from 3-points and played their worst game this season offensively. But they scored 70 points. I expect tonight the same pace as it was in October, but this time Barcelona is better balanced and according to my system should score in the 76-80 points if their percentage would be close to normal.

Still hard to say is over 153 is ok for betting, because Barcelona can bother Ulker offense with its defensive schemes, but last week Ulker showed how good they are by scoring 82 points to one of the best defensive teams in Europe. Barcelona defense is not on that level yet. This can be 78-75 for Ulker, or 72:77 for Barca as well as 82:78 for hosts. All depends on game pace and percentages, but in all cases I see Barcelona scoring more than 74 points.

Pick: Barcelona over 74 points @ 1.85 4/10 Favbet

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