Euroleague Top-16 Picks. April 3rd

diamantis 2014Welcome to Euroleague arenas again. Just 2 rounds left in Top-16, playoffs battles and Final Four in this Euroleague season. Tonight I see two opportunities and some positions on player market. Good luck with your choice. 

Kutxa Laboral – Fenerbahce Ulker

Vitoria has nothing to play except their pride, but with 0-6 record at home (and 0-6 against the spread) I expect them to show their real level. So far they played against good defensive teams in good moment of form, but now they meet still very motivated Ulker, which is allowing 84 points in away matches in Euroleague.

For me it’s hard to predict the winner here despite it is clear who needs to win more here. I expect fast paced game with good chances for both teams to score 159+ points. I hardly see how Laboral can stop Ulker under 75 points and Laboral on other side is scoring like crazy in last matches (100 to Joventud, 101 to Cajasol, 105 to Efes away) and Ulker defensive game is too weak to stop them in Vittoria.

Pick: over 158 @ 1.90 William Hill

Panathinaikos – Unicaja

This is a do-or-die game for both clubs, especially for defensive minded Unicaja which is struggling in offense last few weeks. PAO has one of the best defense in Euroleague and they will rely on it to get important victory. Last time these teamse played in Malaga game pace was very slow – just 151 possesion but Unicaja scored 15/22 3-pointers and ruined all under-bets. This time it should be different game with PAO pressing all around the court, and Unicaja should be able to score more than 66 points. On other side Unicaja with its defense should be able to limit PAO offense in 65-74 points range.

Pick: under 141 @ 1.86 4/10 Pinnacle

Players market

D.Diamantidis over 10.5 @ 1.85 3/10 Bet365

Dimitris is in great shape now. He gets 30-35 minutes per game and can score 12 points easily looking to his shooting % in last games and taking more shots.

E.Calloway under 7.5 @ 1.85 3/10 Sportingbet

Ed gets less and less playing time after Plaza decided to place Granger as main PG. In most of the game Ed fails to score 8 points and I can’t see any reason why he should score 8 points playing against best european defender Diamantidis.

T. Huertel over 7.5 @ 1.83 3/10 Sportingbet

We already were on him when Laboral played against Milan. But that was a bad day for him. In his recent games he score 10+ points regulary and with his increased playing time and shooting norm his total should best around 10 points.

F.San Emeterio over 9.5 @ 1.83 3/10 Bet365

Just take a look at his stats in last Euroleague and ACB games and you’ll understand why I expect him to score in double digits. 

 

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