Euroleague Top-16 Picks. February 13th

 

delaney bayernEuroleague coming back to basketball arenas after national cups. Let’s see what we can expect from tonight games.

 

Lokomotiv Kuban – Real Madrid

Real travelled to Russia without Carroll and Bourossis has a flu. I don’t think that Real will be fresh and full of energy after Copa Del Rey and expect to accept Loko game style, which is based on pace control. Lokomotiv usually trying to avoid run-and-gun basketball and they know that they have no chance to get decent result against Real in such game. Offensively Loko often fails to show good percentage due the lack of inside game and not so great as needed players ib back court. M.Williams is not satisfying E.Pashutin as PG, S.Bykov was suspended by club and not expected to play today. Real has one of the toughest defense in Europe and I see Lokomotiv finishing tonight in 66-73 points range.

Real in away games scores as many points as needed to get result. If they will show their usual high percentage I see them going to 83 points. But Loko defense in my opinion in such historical game for them should be able to offer defense which can limit Real offense to 76-78 points.

So I see this game in 143-156 points and this is a good range to try under here.

Pick: Under 155.5 @ 1.90 4/10 Bet365

Maccabi – Bayern

I am quite suprised to see Maccabi as 10 points favorite here. Surely they are favs here but 10 pts??? Bayern will play with full roster, even N.Djedovic travelled with a team. Bayern likes to play in clear underdog shoes and with rebounding skills that can get many points against short-handed Maccabi front-line. Also Bayern is hard to defend when they are in good form. And they are in good form right now looking to their huge results in BEKO league.

I see Bayern fighting here till the end, while Maccabi needs just to win this game to stay in cruise-control in Top-16. Fair line in my eyes should be set around 6.5 points.

Pick: Bayern +10.5 @ 4/10 Bet365

Zalgiris – Partizan

HC & Total line looks quite well set in this game. I like here position from additional markets which is worth a try for sure.

As you probably know Partizan will play without T.Kinsey tonight and it means that B.Bogdanovic has a green light in offense. He scored 32 points in his last game against Cibona and was rested in cup competition which has been lost in QF. Bogdanovic should get many minutes tonight and many shots because team will look for him, instead of giving ball to T.Kinsey. I expect him to score 20+ points tonight.

Pick: B.Bogdanovic over 17.5 @ 1.83 3/10 Sportingbet

 

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