Euroleague Top-16 Picks. February 27th

san emeterio 2014I am always trying to be value side and sometimes value doesn’t mean instant income. Today again I will propose bets which you probably don’t agree or already on other side. Two games are interesting for me here and 4 picks from me. 

Efes Pilsen – Barcelona

Barcelona eyes, legs and heads should be fresh and full of energy this Sunday in Malaga. In case of loss there they will do big step into semifinal series with Real Madrid in ACB league. In Euroleague everything decided for them and they can now switch to local competition. I expect to see extended rotation from Pasqual tonight and some key players might be rested ahead of important game in Malaga.

Efes Pilsen is not as bad as public think. At home they always were hard nut to crack for Barcelona and depsite Hopson is still missing somewhere I see good chances for Efes at least to hold 7 points handicap. They close with Real Madrid when they were in top form for 2.5 quarters, they won against Unicaja, they were in the race with Ulker until 37 minute. Now not-motivated Barcelona comes and I see good chances for Efes to cover such handicap.

Bookies are happy to get players money on Barcelona tonight but I offer to stay on value side, and Efes is definetely the one here. If they were 12 pts dogs in Barcelona, at home they should get PK line (+- 3-4 points). For me it’s clear value bet, especially taking into consideration different team motivation here.

I expect Planinic to take benefits in offense against Huertas & Pullern who are 9-15 shorter and can’t defend well against him. He is getting many minutes now and doing 8-12 shots which more that enough to score 9 points.

Pick: Efes +7.5 @ 1.92 4/10 Pinnacle
Pick: Z.Planinic over 8.5 @ 1.83 3/10 Sportingbet

Laboral – Unicaja

Unicaja comes to Vittoria without Vidal, Hettsheimeir and Vasquez. It means that Unicaja will play with just 2 big players against Noccioni, Pleis, Odom and Mainoldi. With very important match ahead I really doubt about Unicaja motivation here. Even if they’ll lose this game nothing happens for them in terms of qualification to playoffs. They still must get maximum from their next 4 games (3 at home, 1 away).

Laboral send on loan W.Hodges who dissapointed everyone, but signed Odom who is yet far from good conditions. But even bad Odom can play big role in European basketball and I expect him at least to give Scariolo better rotation option than Mainoldi.

For me Laboral at this moment on the same level as Unicaja as a team, but they have many hidden resources slept in their roster and they should explode sooner or later. With a victory here Laboral can still stay in fight for EL playoffs. And if you looks closer to h2h you’ll see that Laboral just dream Unicaja, because almost each time they win easily.

Also I personally like the under here despite public goes with over. In their last game teams did just 163 possesions and game was quite slow. Now Laboral offensive form is as high as it was in the beginning of January and Unicaja also experience problems in scoring points away from home. I see this game under 150 points and Laboral winning it 78-69 or close to these numbers.

Pick: Laboral (-3.5) @ 1.90 4/10 SBObet
Pick: Under 157 @ 1.95 4/10 Pinnacle

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