Euroleague Top-16 Picks. January 31st

pleis

4 more games to watch today in Euroleague but only 3 of them are interesting in terms of betting. And to be honest just 2 games are interesting for spread and total picks, and in on more game I am just interested in one player who can must score much more than line suggest.

 Galatasaray – Zalgiris Kaunas

Galatasaray at this moment is far from their best form as well as Zalgiris who lost to Neptunas in LKL. Both teams needs to win this game but surely Galatasaray at home has huge advantage with their home crowd behind them.

Galatasaray is a defensive minded team which like to force opponents to play half court basketball in offense. I doubt that Zalgiris will be able to speed up the game pace tonight and this will make them quite limited offensively. Lithuanian team doesn’t have many player who can score points in half court game and stop Dentmon will be defensive goal for Galatasaray tonight. First of all I expect Zalgiris not to score 70 points today.

 On other side Galatasaray form right now in offense is not a high-flying and Zalgiris defense should be able to stop hosts in the normal percentage and defend under 80 points. As for me Galatasaray scoring range tonight is somewhere between 72 and 80 points..

All in one I see quite good chances for game to end in 137-147 points range, and under 149 looks quite interesting as a bet.

Pick: under 149 @ 1.93 4/10 Pinnacle

Partizan NIS Belgrade – Lokomotiv-Kuban

Partizan without Tepic and Miloslavljevic tonight. Also their leader B.Bogdanovic is not in his best form these days. I hardly see how young Partizan team with just 6 players who can play on this level can fight for a victory against experienced and long bench having Kuban.. It is must win game for Kuban and I am quite sure about their win.

Looks like bookies are happy to get players money on Partizan side after their victory over CSKA 2 weeks ago, but things changed dramastically since that game and I expect Lokomotiv Kuban to get 5-12 points win tonight.

Pick: Lokomotiv (-4.5) @ 1.91 4/10 Pinnacle

Laboral – Efes Pilsen

I am not going to pick a winner or total here, because I have no trust to Scariolo and his Laboral in terms of covering 7-points handicap even against short-handed Efes Pilsen. But I will back T.Pleis to score over his total tonight.

1) He is performing really well in his last games (17 against Pao, 14 – Milan, 25 – Zaragoza, 18 – Fuenlabrada, 4 – Olympiaocos but just 11 minutes played)/
2) Efes without S.Erdin and it means there is no real center in opponents team

Expecting him to score at least 12 points!

Pick: T.Pleiss over 10.5 @ 1.83 3/10 Sportingbet

 

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