Euroleague Top-16. Week 13. Friday Picks

Hackett Let’s try to enjoy one more Friday evening with Euroleague basketball with 4 bets coming from 3 matches.

Montepaschi Siena – Barcelona

Barcelona travel to Siena without Mikael (out till the end of the season), Navarro (getting treatment) and Oleson (not eligible to play in Top-16). Beside of this Tomic is questionable for use because of knee trouble. On Monday Barcelona has a big game against Valencia at home in ACB League and they claimed first position in a group.

Siena must win to stay in playoff race and we can expect really hot atmosphere in a hall which is was completely sold out this week. As for the roster news I must admit that Montepaschi is troubled by injuries, but seems that only Hackett is really doubtful today with ankle injury. T.Ress has some discomfort but will play, Jennings also healed his ankle during this week but must be ready for the game.

Barcelona has nothing to play for here and I expect Siena to get so important victory here. However, we should remember that Siena is not in the best form right now.

Pick: Montepaschi to win @ 2.00 4/10 Pinnacle

Fenerbahce – Olympiacos

Olympiacos in some down-trend in Euroleague but must win in Turkey. On other side we have dissapointing Ulker which has last chance to prove something for its fans playing last Euroleague match at home. For me value is clearly on Ulker side but it is not so easy to go against more motivated team. Anyway I think it is worth to trade against Olympiacos at Betfair or take Fenerbahce +8 at Bet365 and cover it with Olympiacos ML @ 1.90+.

As for the total I feel that market is overreacting to latest Ulker scores. It is important match for Olympiacos and their defense is absolutely capable to hold Ulker offense under 75 points. And Olympiacos offensive quality in last matches does not allow them to play relying on their offensive skills. In first game match ended with 159 posessions and it is good sign that today game pace would not be high. And in normal pace I see this game finishing in 144-161 points what gives an edge for under bet.

Pick: Fenerbahce +7.5 @ 1.91 3/10 5Dimes
Pick: Under 158 @ 1.90 4/10 Bet365

ALBA – Zalgiris

ALBA is in uptrend right now especially in offense while Zalgiris defense is not so hard as it was in first half of the season. I expect ALBA to score 76+ points tonight at home court, but on other side we have Zalgiris which is capable to score 73+ points against ALBA defense which is not showing up usually in Euroleague matches.

Pick: Over 149 @ 1.96 4/10 Pinnacle

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