2 of 2 yesterday – good answer to wednesday loss. Today we have just 3 games and lines already have been polished by those who don’t wait when maximums will be raised. In this situation I must announce nobet day, but will say few words about tonight games.
Zalgiris – Real Madrid
When line opened at -7.5 I was interested in Real Madrid a little bit, but now when market moved to -9.5 I am forced to skip. Ok, I am still thinking that Real should win this game quite easily by double digits but I am tending to just 9-13 points victory. There are few bad moments for Real here. 1) They are after trip to Asia and yesterday CSKA victory over weak Nantteree showed how that could be 2) Real played on Monday, will play tonignt and on Sunday against Kutxa Laboral at home. They should rotate and save energy.. not good point to take them for double digit victory. 3) Zalgiris will fight for their honour in fully packed arena, which is coming to root against Rudy personally and teammates.
Stelmet Z. Gora – Bayern Munich
Line opened at (-1.5) but now moved to -5.5. Again should say that this is right move and it is too late to jump into Bayern train. Line is fair now and it shows that Bayern has much better team that should win in Poland their must-win game in terms of Top-16 qualification. I would recommend to wait for better odds on Bayern to turn this game to their favor after weak start (sure, if such scenario will happen).
Olympiacos – Unicaja
Game of the day in Greece. Two more or less equal teams in terms of roster strength, but Olympiacos has much more experience as a team as well as Euroleague experience. Unicaja is full of skilled players, but Euroleague is still something new for most of them and I expect Unicaja to fail sooner or later in this match. I expect to see many defense here but still don’t know what to expect from pace. Too open game to predict in terms of total market, and handicap set close to fair one. I would set Olympiacos as -6 favorite.
Good luck with your picks, guys!