Crvena Zvezda – Lokomotiv
Seems that Belgrad arena should be sold out today with 20k fans coming to support Crvena Zvezda in its Euroleague debut against Lokomotiv Kuban, who also will play their first ever game in Euroleague.
Lokomotiv has much better roster than Crvena Zvezda and I full agree with their favorite status today, but don’t see value in backing them. Crvena Zvezda should be with full roster today because their key center R.Katic has beed ready to play this weekend but still missed a game with Radnicki to prepare for this match.
Both teams can play good defensively, but looking to the style these teams played at the start of the season we can expect up-tempo game which should lead to 155-156 points because of increased posessions.
I see this one has good chances to end with 155-158 points and line should be set a little bit higher than it is now.
Pick: Over 152 @ 1.90 3/10 Bet365
Lietuvos Rytas – Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos comes to Vilnius without shooting guard Bramos, also seems that Ukic, Maciulius and some other players are not in best conditions at this time of the season. PAO still has better and deeper roster and worth favorite status in this game, but I don’t see them as -6 favorite here. I would agree with -2.5 handicap.So there is small value on Lietuvos Rytas which signed D.Songaila last week and now at least 8 players who can play at Euroleague level.
Still there is a class difference between teams, but Panathinaikos should not be such heavy favorite in Vilnius, where Rytas always give their best in Euroleague. Dirk Baurmann coach of L.Rytas satisfied with team form and expect good results here.
Pick: Rytas +6 @ 1.90 3/10 Bet365