This week we have just 2 Euroleague days with some basic knowledge about teams from last week performance. Tonight I see 2 small-medium picks and one combo-bet which is worth medium stake.
Real Madrid – Brose Baskets
Real played 3 easy games against Valladolid, Zalgiris and Kutxa Laboral with 20+ points victories in each game. But despite such impressive results I go against them this evening.
I don’t think that Brose has chance to win in Madrid today or give them the same fight as they did last season when Madrid won by 3 points only. But what I expect from Brose is their character demonstration. In last 2 Euroleague seasons only once they lost by 20 points away from home (against CSKA in 2011/12 season) and last year they were defeated by 19 points in Berlin. They played with honor against such big teams as Pananthinaikos, Barcelona, CSKA, Real and always got honorable result at least.
Also I see some statistical value here, because I see both teams finishing in 70-89 points range and I there is almost no space to cover the 18 points handicap. Fair line in my opinion -13.5/156.5
Pick: Brose Baskets +18 @ 1.90 3/10 Sportingbet
Maccabi – Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda under new coach has defensive approach and not so fast as it was during last season, but seems that public still take them as fast team, especially overish game in Week 1 against Lokomotiv. But if we look closer to their results in ABA League we will see that they play very agressive defense and slowing pace.
Maccabi is still in development mode because of new additions and early season injuries. Maccabi is not the scoring machine these days and I expect them to struggle against low-paced and defensive minded Crvena Zvezda. On other side defensive genius of D.Blatt and relatively weak Zvezda roster should be able to stop serbian team offense.
I see good chances for both teams to stay under 80 points. 78:70 looks like possible outcome here +- 3-4 points.
Pick: under 155 @ 1.82 3/10 SBObet
Lokomotiv Kuban – Lietuvos Rytas
Emporio Armani – Zalgiris
Rytas is a little bit weaker than Lokomotiv Kuban, but managed to win against them on Sunday. Tonight it will be different game and I hardly see Rytas winning against such good team as Lokomotiv two times in a row away from home. One more thing to notice here is that Rytas staying in Krasnodar since weekend and I doubt that they had normal preparations for Euroleague match.
Lithuanians did 27 turnovers against Real Madrid and showed its level to whole Europe. I doubt that such weak roster cam dramastically improve in just one week and expect Zalgiris to fail again against motivated Milan. Italian team also has injury problems (Gigli and Kangur can’t play) but with D.Moss return they should take victory against Zalgiris, which historically plays weak in away matches (not taking here best their seasons).
Pick: Lokomotiv + Armani to win @ 1.68 5/10 Bet365