Fenerbahce Ulker – CSKA Moscow
Can’t agree with Ulker favorite status here. Ulker has good roster but they are not a power-house like CSKA, Barcelona or Real. Especially now when their center position is weakeaned by Savaz and Karaman injuries. They are forced to cover PF anc C position with just 2 real center (Vidmar + Zoric) and Bjelica playing as PF in defense and offense, but normally he is oversized SF with good shooting skills and bad defense. Also McCalebb will play tonight against good defender Pargo, and Kleiza will meet another seriuos threat in face of V.Khriapa who is known for his defensive game. Also Krstic and Kaun are in good form + Hines and Khriapa should deliver many problems to Ulker on both ends of the floor.
I like CSKA defense and their ability to control pace. Ulker will be forced to play half-court basketball where their game would not be so effective as it was last week in fast-paced match against Barcelona.
CSKA still has a lot of space to improve offensively, but tonight I expect CSKA to win because with their defense and mentality. I would set CSKA here as 2.5-points favorite to win and 2.12 on them to win represent clear value bet.
Pick: CSKA to win @ 2.12 4/10 Pinnacle
Unicaja – Galatasaray
Galatasaray will miss Markoishvili and Nawai tonight, but will present their new signing Mensa Bonsu. Last week Galatasaray failed to repeat their performance against Montepaschi and lost easily to Olympiacos playing with full roster. Unicaja on other side looked impressive in their away game against Olympiacos and last week continued with 33 points victory over Zeliona Gura.
Bookies giving Unicaja -5 spread at home what means that Unicaja and Galatasaray is on the same level in their ranking. I see Unicaja better team than Galatasaray, especially now when turkish team missing 2 important players. At home Unicaja play with confidence and with strong defense they should be able to win against Turkish champions by 10+ points.
Pick: Unicaja (-5) @ 1.94 4/10 Pinnacle
Olympiacos – Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich is fast paced which is trying to run early offense at each possesion. They like to play fast basketball and involve their opponents to play their game too. Olympiacos offensively is quite hard to stop especially when they play at home and I see good chances for Olympiacos to score here 84+ points. On other side Bayern physical power, shooting abilities and fast pace should help to score 72+ points.
Olympiacos could be without Petway today which was injured during the training, but will he will replaced with recovered M.Begic. It is good for our pick because Petway is much better defensively, while Begic is more attacking center wit h poor defensive skills.
Pick: over 154.5 @ 1.93 4/10 Pinnacle