Yesterday all was about luck. Maccabi over lost by 0.5 points, but Efes pick was won with a 3-point shot with few second left. Tonight we have big Euroleague days with many interesting games on our screens. I will offer bets on 2 matches and both against the market.
Zeliona Gora – Galatasaray
Market heavily supports Galatasaray here, because everyone expect Galatasaray to win easily after 2 losses in Euroleague. But do they need to win by 8 points? Are they stronger than Siena or Bayern which had the same line here? Many questions about Galatasaray for me here, because Markoishvili and Jawai losses they are forced to change a lot in their game. Bench players are not at their best conditions, some of them (Domercant) played just one BIG game and that was against Siena when whole team was looking impressive. But than everything collapsed and I have big doubts that Galatasaray can be priced as such heavy favorite under current conditions in AWAY match.
Zeliona Gora is well balanced team on all position, but they don’t have enough Euroleague level players to be a favorite against anyone in this league. But last week they proved that they know their job very well and will fight until the end in front of their fans. We should not take too serious their first loss to Bayern in Euroleague, because they got Walker and Dragicevic just few days before game, but than they had good start in Malaga and win over Siena. Actually the same result as Galatasaray.
I see Galatasaray as favorite here but fair handicap should be somewhere between -2 and -4.5 on away team. Zeliona Gura will do its best to compete here and I am going against the market here.
Pick: Zeliona Gora +7 @ 1.93 3/10 Pinnacle
Montepaschi – Olympiacos
I will be much shorter in this because there is much less to say.
Montepaschi are 0-3 and have 2 away matches in their schedule (Malaga and Istanbul). They must win this game to avoid 0-6 start. Olympiacos is 3-0, feeling quite safe in the table and can live with a loss in Florence (yes, this game will be played in Florence, not in Siena).
As I know V.Spanoulis is not 100% ready for this game but will play for sure. When he is not 100% many teams can play against Olympiacos at home and Siena after spectacular performance in Pesaro this Monday will try to repeat their 3-points shooting show today against mighty Olympiacos.
I respect Olympiacos as a team, but really can’t see them with -16.5 handicap at home against Siena (or -11 on netral ground). Montepaschi is going to win this game, but can lose in close battle.
As for other games here is what I think and why I skip them.
Barcelona – CSKA
CSKA has better equiped team, but they are without out-of-form Krstic today, with just one typical center. Their form is awful, but seems that is matter of confidence and head problems. If CSKA will be able to solve those problems we can expect them to make many troubles to Barcelona which is also in bad form.
On other side Barcelona is 1-2 and must win this match at home to avoid 1-3 start, while CSKA can live with 2-2 after 4 rounds and easy shedule in next 4 weeks.
If would be forced to bet I would choose Barcelona victory.
Partizan – Fenerbahce
I fully agree that Ulker should be set as favorite here and agree that -7 was looking too optimistic. My line here +4.5/147.5 so there is no positions to bet before the match.