Euroleague. Week 4. Real Madrid – Sassari

rivers realBoth teams come from important games in their local competitions. Real won against Valencia with style (90:71) and Sassari won in Rome (84:75). At the end of the week both teams again will play big games, Real will play Madrid derby with Fuenlabrada and Sassari will travel to Cantu. Both games on Sunday, so enough time to rest after this game and we should not expect any fatique or “save energy” mode today in Madrid.

But what we can expect today is a high pace and offensive game for fans. Sassari never liked to defend and don’t have strong defensive minded players actually. I  can’t see any defensive solution for them in this game. Let’s look at matchups in the paint. Real has 3 high quality centers, while Sassari fired their only center M.Cusin last week. How they can stop Ayon, Mejri, Bouroussis, Reyes under the rim? Ooh, forgot to say that Real also have Lull, Carroll, Fernandez and Rodriguez at 3-point line and all of them can score  10+ points against poor defense. 

Last week Real has scored with quality of 1.26 pts/possesionagainst Novgorod, despite russians came to Madrid at least with some kind of defensive plan. Sassari comes here just to play one more game and they never defend in such games. I expect at least 93 posessions for Real Madrid today and reach at least 1.05 pts/poss. in offense. Defensively Real is not playing hard and Sassari shooting skills are good enough to score 75+ points.

I see good chances for Real to score 97+ points and Sassari should finish in the 76-83 points range. The only risk here is Sassari offense, which sometimes looks like totally lost, but I hope that big score difference will make turn this basketball into great wednesday evening show.  

Pick: Over 172 @ 1.97 Pinnacle

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