Euroleague Week 5. Thursday Picks

gentileMany interesting games tonight on Euroleague scene. I really like my player selection today, but limits are low. Russian derby opens Euroleague Round 5 and I am want to start from it.

Unics – N.Novgorod

These teams played VTB League game few days ago in Kazan and Novgorod surprised with 89:78 fully deserved victory. Kinsey returned for Novgorod and game was looking totally different from the picture we have seen against Efes Pilsen.

After the game it was stated that Unics was not interested in that game, because they don’t take VTB league seriously. But Pedoulakis played with its best players there and failed to win… Defense did not work again, offensively all depends on Langford form and it is not so high as needed.

No doubts that Unics has better roster and should be favored in this game between 8 and 12.5 points, but if Novgorod was able to win few days ago in half-friendly tournament why not to repeat success? Looking to the past Unics games against Zalgiris and Novgorod seems that they again in downtrend and again I must remind what I said about Pedoulakis future in Unics.. Maybe another loss in Euroleague will help team president to fire him..

Novgorod is 0-4 ATS in Euroleague and today they can end this streak.

Pick: Novgorod +10.5 @ 1.91

Milano – Turow

A must-win game for Milano, but the way how they play in recent weeks often leads to coach discharge. They have too many outclassed players in their roster and this is the main reason, why Milan fails to show what everyone expected after last season. But this game is a kind of match, where might see some kind of resurrection. Milano has better players, they are focused on this game and handicap correctly. As for the total it is impossible to predict percentages, which can be high, average or low.. Each game is different one for both teams, so better to skip it.

A.Gentile played two bad games in Euroleague: one in Munich (9 points, 1/6 shooting) and second in Greece when he got in foul trouble (0 points, but just 19 minutes played). But his results in Italy shows how this man is. He scored 21 points in Avellino (7/17 shooting) and 23 against Reggio Emilia this monday. He is mental ledaer of italian champions, team captain and his shooting norm gives enough space to score up to 16 points each game day. Turow has quite weak defense and I expect Gentile star to shine this evening.

Pick: A.Gentile (Milan) over 10.5 pts @ 1.84 Sportingbet

Bayern – Fenerbahce

Bayern has serious health problems. A.Gavel out for one month, N.Djedovic injured too and most probably out for this game, R.Benzing should be fit to play, but he did not train since weekend. Young P.Zipser is back, and B.Taylor continue recovery process.

Fenerbahce has a full roster and last week we have seen how good can play. Ok, they lost against Barcelona but at this moment this is strongest team in tournament. After two losses in a row Ulker should be concentrated here to avoid 0-3 losing run right before the trip to Milan.

Normally, Fenerbahce should be getting -3.5 line here, but injuries troubles known since the beginning of the week and bookies moved line -5.5. If Djedovic will not play I would give Ulker -8.5 handicap, but this is still not enough value for an handicap bet but you can add Ulker to parlays.

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Olympiacos – Galatasaray
Neptunas – Valencia
Unicaja – Maccabi
Laboral – Crvena Zvezda

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