Lietuvos Rytas – Lokomotiv Kuban
Lietuvos Rytas taking this game seriously. Seibutis and Songaila were rested this weekend in VTB league but without them Rytas managed to win against Enisey, thanks to balanced team performance. Seems that Bauermann found right rotation and with his main players playing their best basketball he is looking quite confident in his team this evening.
Lokomotiv has 5-1 win record but that could easily 3-2 or 2-3 because Lokomotiv was saved in already lost match in Athens and at home against Laboral with K.Simons shots in the last seconds. Also in their first game in Belgrade russians played their best game ever in offense and managed to take another away victory. But Lokomotiv in my eyes is not that good as their record. Tonight they are without Bykov who played big roles in last matches, also Euroleague official site informs that K.Simon is out too (but I did not find any confirmation on the club website or in the press).
I agree that Lokomotiv has slightly better players but there difference between team level is not that high to set Lokomotiv as favorite in Siemens Arena. Rytas in great form at home is hard nut to crack even for bigger clubs and in my eyes Rytas is small fav here to win the match. Don’t forget that with a win Rytas can fight for Top-16 spot again but they will need to win away against Kutxa Laboral or Maccabi for this.
Pick: Rytas to win @ 2.12 4/10 Pinnacle
Zeliona Gura – Unicaja
This is mainly system bet. We have 2 teams tending to slow pace down and I expect low-paced basketball in Poland today. Unicaja defense is good one and I hardly see Polish champions to overcome 72 points barrier today. On other side Unicaja is not so good offensively to score with high percentages. Usually they finish under 80 points and I expect to end somewhere between 70 and 76 points tonight too. Both teams are motivated enough and I see low scoring match here with 139-150 points scored.
Pick: under 152 @ 1.90 5/10 Unibet
Nanterre – Partizan
Big game for both teams. Nanterre has real chances to enter Top-16 stage with a win, and Partizan in case of victory gets h2h advantage over Nanterre and with win over Budivelnik at home might go to Top-16. Nanterre has almost full roster to choose from (only Gladyr out) and Partizan without they main playmaker Westermann.
Both teams are not so good offensively but defensively looks solid. I expect this game to be a defensive and close one. I will try under bet here too but I must say that this bet is based on expectation of percentage below the Euroleague average. If we will see 50%+ from 2 pts and 30%+ from FT line this bet could be lost by few points. So be careful with bet size.
Pick: Under 140.5 @ 1.94 3/10 Pinnacle