Euroleague Week 9. Thursday Picks

We have two very entertaining games this evening in Spain and I decided to make free preview for these matches and offer 2 bets, which also have been offered in paid subscription. I hope that these selections will bring us profit tonight. 

Unicaja – CSKA

CSKA still without Teodosic, while for Unicaja R.Toolson is as game time decision due the virus infection.

Both teams tends to push opponents defensively, but there is one difference between them. CSKA can find the way how score how to score with normal percentage against any defense, while Unicaja fails to do it under defensive pressure.

Unicaja allowing just 67 points in last 6 home games (including Endesa League) and only ALBA managed to score more than 73 points to them. On other side we have CSKA, which played 7 away games this season (including VTB) and only Lokomotiv was able to score 81 points to them, but that was a start of the season. Later there was a high-paced game in Limoges, where French team scored 76 points showed due unbelievable percentage (hard to repeat) in first 3 quarters, but in last 10 munites CSKA turned off them with 27:5 performance. In last 6 games CSKA also allows just 67.6 points per game and on Monday they again showed, how good they are defensively by winning against Unics 75:51 at home.

In terms of total I see low scoring battle here. Both teams tends to play slower tempo, defensive level is very high on both ends. CSKA is better in offensive game, but without Teodosic they don’t have those “extra” 3-pointers and looks a little bit limited on offense. I see Unicaja scoring in 68-74 range and CSKA in 73-77.

Ryan Toolson participation in this match is a big doubt so maybe this bet will voided. But if he plays at least a minute we can win a bet here. If he will play his normal game this line is still 1-2 points higher than it should be, because so far Toolson played at highest possible level and it’s not easy always to score 3-pointers with 50% percentage. Especially if you were with fever last 2 days.. My own total for him (for his normal game) 11 points.

Pick: Under 153.5 @ 1.91 Pinnacle
Pick: R.Toolson under 13.5 @ 1.85 Sportingbet

Barcelona – Fenerbahce

Barcelona without Navarro and his regular substitute B.Oleson, which has been confirmed to be out for one month. But they still have small forward Abrines, who can cover shooting guard position and I expect him to play a lot today. Barcelona is 0-4 ATS at home as well Ulker is riding 4-0 ATS strike. Looking to the past results we can see how difficult are those trips to Barcelona for Ulker (all games lost with double digits). But with 2 important players missing and with just 2 quards (both PG) in the lineup I just can’t trust money to Barcelona. Fair line as for me should be -5.5 and it is better to stay away from this match and follow it in live.

 

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