Zalgiris is 4-1 for over in last 5 away games and there are signs, that this trend might be hot in upcoming weeks. Sarunas Jasikevicius trying to implement faster game style and players are happy with it and starting to feel confidence. Today Zalgiris will play against team, which like to play fast paced basketball and we can expect high paced and high scoring game.
Khimki still without Davis, but after playing against two defensive teams (Laboral and Brose), they should explode against Zalgiris defense, which is not performing well in away games by allowing 1 pts/poss. (only Barca has weaker defense, but they have second away offense in Top-16). I expect Khimki to score around 85 points from 85 possesions.
Zalgiris played perfect game in Madrid, where they scored 86 points from 82 posessions, than 75 points from 75 points followed against Olympiacos defense in Kaunas. Seems, that Saras offensive changes works well and Zalgiris is improving their offense lately. Khimki has 2nd best home defense in Euroleague (after Oly of course), but I think that Zalgiris should be able to avoid collapse as it happened in Bamberg, Krasnodar and Athens under Krapikas. Zalgiris according to my estimations should get 85 posessions and should be able to score ~75 points.
Looking back to the season stats line for this game should be ~152 points. Bookmakers did adjustments and set it 3 points higher, but it should be higher.
Pick: Over 156.5 @ 1.90 Bet365
- Barcelona – Kutxa Laboral
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- Panathinaikos – Darussafaka
- Unicaja – Efes Pilsen