Fenerbahce – Panathinaikos

Old fox Z.Obradovic and his new team will play against his former team and try to win by 11+ points margin. 
Last time these teams met in Athens game pace was just 138 attacks (81:70 PAO won).

Tonight I expect another slow-paced game  with a lot of defense from both sides, because 11 points margin  should be considered as additional factor. Both teams can’t take this game lightly because they are close standings and loser will be out of playoffs range. Also this is a turkish-greek derby and usually they are very hot.

Fenerbahce should try to get h-2-h advantage over PAO and greens will do everything to keep it. Looking to past games of Panathinaikos they fail to score points against more or less solid defensive teams (69 to Baskonia, 69 to Olympiacos and 70 to Efes). Fenerbahce is 4th best home defense in Euroleague and I expect them to be very aggressive tonight everywhere.

In-depth stats:

  • Home avg. pace: 142 attacks (-)
  • Home avg. scoring: 1,07 pts/attack
  • Away average pace: 143 attacks (-)
  • Away avg. scoring: 1.06 pts/attack
  • Expected pace: 138 attacks (or less)

Not sure, that Obradovic will get many minutes to his new signing Canadian NT forward Bennett, but Bogdanovic is already showing good basketball. My system expect PAO to score less than 73 points, but at such pace Fenerbahce should also be limited under 80 points.

Prediction: Fenerbahce 77 – 69 Panathinaikos

Pick: Under 152 @ 1.93 *

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