This is the only game, where bookies did adjustments in favor of hosts. It means they expect Laboral to make another win here, and everything points to this. If you like to bet on trends, that Laboral -4.5 should be a good pick. Spanish team is 10-3 against the spread this season, while PAO has horrible 4-9 record with 3 ATS wins as favorite against weak sides Cedevita, Unicaja, Pinar & Zalgiris.
Panathinaikos was not able to find defensive solution against Laboral offense, they failed to score points against Laboral defense. They should improve in both areas, if they want to win, but looking back to the season this is not looking real. However, we can expect them to be more competitive from 3-points range (3/19 in Game 1), but they also might lose ball more often (just 8 turnovers in Game 1). I expect them to make 70-74 points today, but that’s not enough to win a game, because Laboral should score around 80 points.
Trends are talking to take Laboral (-4.5) and this is most logical choice. The problem with this position is that estimations are very close to the right ones and there is no value, while I prefer to stay with value bets.
Paid preview & pick
Lokomotiv – Barcelona