Lokomotiv – Crvena Zvezda

A.RandolphCrvena Zvezda will step to Krasnodar basketball court in less than 48 hours after their win in Zagreb. This is worst possible situation in european basketball, when you have to play away match in 2 days far away from home… 

Crvena on Tuesday played in Zagreb, claimed place in Adriatic Finals. Immidiately after the game they traveled to Belgrade by bus, than had flight to Moscow, 5 hours of waiting and another flight to Krasnodar. It is always hard to play another game in less than 48 hours, especially when you had such diffucult trip.

Lokomotiv had much more time to prepare for this deciding game. They must win it by 14+ to get h2h over Crvena Zvezda and claim 2nd position in a group + home court advantage in playoffs. Crvena Zvezda offense tends to collapse against agressive defense and Loko defense is second best home defense after Olympiacos. According to my analysis Loko should score 80+ points and stop Crvena Zvezda under 70 points.

On top of that Crvena Zvezda is on 9-0 ATS, but this time we have some advantage over the line and this is another reason why I decided to go against this run. I expect Loko to win this one by 10+ pts and look for opportunity to steal h2h advantage by getting 14+ advantage.

Pick: Lokomotiv (-10.5) @ 1.98 Pinnacle

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