Paid pick will be available for free at 18:45 CET for 15 minutes until kick off.
Crvena Zvezda – Bamberg
We have two more or less same quality teams here, but Serbian team has some advantage due to their deep roster and more clear motivation. Bamberg without Strelnieks lost to Zalgiris last week. They still have hope for playoffs, but they must win in Belgrade to keep it alive.
I give my vote for the hosts this evening, but it’s really impossible to find any value in taking them at such short odds.
Game pace should slow, but current total line is not good for under, because there is a big chance that this game will have ~155 points at the end, if pace will be around 142-145 attacks.
- Home avg. pace: 146 attacks
- Home avg. scoring: 0.96-1.04 pts/attack
- Away average pace: 141 attacks (-)
- Away avg. scoring: 1.02-1.12 pts/attack
Tip: consider to take Under 160+ total at in-play
Maccabi Tel Aviv – Olympiacos
Maccabi has barely managed to win Euroleague games with a full roster this season, but on Thursday it will try and do so with just eight fit senior players when it hosts Olympiacos. Devin Smith, Andrew Goudelock, Quincy Miller and less important Joe Alexander will not play this evening due the injuries. Maccabi added two players to its depleted roster on Wednesday, signing American Diamon Simpson for the remainder of the Euroleague campaign and young Israeli Nimrod Levy, who was released from Maccabi Rishon Lezion. Neither of them expected to play…
These news moved Olympiacos handicap from -3.5 to -5.5, despite team is still missing Vassilis Spanoulis.
8 players is enought to play basketball game, especially if you have players who can cover 2 positions at once and typical center. Sure Maccabi will need more points second units players from Mekel, Pnini, Ohayon, Landersberg and Segev. But all of them are experienced players, who can contribute well at this level. But Maccabi system is still a big question.. They were looking improved last week in Moscow without Goudelock, but now they will miss D.Smith.
I don’t see much room to bet on Olympiacos handicap right now, but also I have very big doubts about Maccabi chances to get positive result here. Total is fair here.
Tip: Wait for 1.90+ odds on Olympiacos at in-play
Baskonia were 8-1 team at home, before they lost two consecutive home games against Crvena Zvezda and Real Madrid. They lost 6 of their last 7 games and appeared in emergency zone. They have to step up immidiately and show their A level game at home. Actually, they are not in any type of crisis right now. They are showing great results in Spain and seems took EL games with less concentration after strong start. They welcomes back T.Snengelia and he is very important figure for them. He is not a great shot blocker, but with him they are statistically better defensively and his ability to score points is important too.
Italian team travels to Baskonia without K.Simon and Z.Dragic. They don’t care about Euroleague games now, because all chances are lost.
Baskonia should take sweet revenge for 76:88 loss in Italy. They are getting -9 handicap, which is quite big to take it as pre-match bet.
Tip: Baskonia @ 1.20 is good material for combo-bet (multiples)