Euroleague. October 22. Game Previews and Picks

Saric (Efes Pilsen)Today we have 6 games, 2 picks and one of them is free as well as all games previews. 

Bayern – Khimki

Bayern has been without Vasilije Micic and Bryce Taylor so far this season. Both players are expected to be back soon. Khimki with full roster.

Both teams played on Monday, but 2 days of rest is enough to recover. Despite Khimki played against their rival CSKA, seems they had tonight game in their heads. Euroleague is top priority for them. I give Khimki advantage here because of their roster and experience, but in away games we can expect different Khimki too. They often fails to show their best game out of Russia.

Bayern is still without Micic and Taylor, but both can return at any time. If both in and in good form, than there is a sense to go with Bayern here, but I need to see at least 5.5 handicap to pick them. So far market looks well balanced and fair.

Cedevita – Limoges

With Culpepper back to rotation I see Limoges as better team in overall, but backing French teams in away games is usually bad idea, because they are poor travellers. On top of that Limoges had awful game quality at the start of the season and they still need time to find a balance.

Cedevita had many games in last 2-3 weeks. It’s good for new team to get so many opportunities to grow up as a team. At home they should be able to take so needed points, but I am not sure about their ability to cover -5.5 spread here. For me this a game, where hosts should win, but game can be close until the end. Limoges +5.5 is my lean here. 

Djedovic (Bayern)Efes Pilsen – Milan

Efes is generally better team here, so it’s normal that we see more than 4,5 points handicap here (a cost of home factor in Euroleague). But there are some questions about Thomas Heurtel and Birkan Batuk health and availability in this game, while Milan looks to be with best available squad. I see some value on Milan side here, but I don’t like this team a lot and hate to trust them money.

But I think we can try here Efes Pilsen total under 79,5 points, because I expect slow game, low score and Efes is overpriced be few points here.

Pick: Efes Pilsen under 79,5 @ 1.90 Marathonbet

Panathinaikos – Pinar

Panathinaikos is different class than Pinar and should prove this at home. There is still plenty of work for A.Djordjevic as head coach, but his team much better players and deeper rotation. Plus greeks like to blow out Turkish team when playing in Greece, however Pinal looks to be in better conditions as team these days.

Hard game for me to decide here. If handicap would be 2-2.5 points I would jump on PAO with pleasure, but -7.5 looks close to fair one. Game to follow in live.

Maccabi – Unicaja

Maccabi will miss B.Randle tonight and that’s a huge blow, especially for their defense. They have enough players to score points, but their defense was very sloppy against CSKA. Let’s see how things will change at home and against less powerful Unicaja.

Unicaja is deeper team, but they don’t have top-level players and often collapse in Euroleague, when play away from home. Not sure what is the reason of that, but last year they were looking terrible in most of the games. With B.Randle absence I see some value on Unicaja, but I need +7 handicap to bet on them.

As for the total it’s hard market to decide at this moment of the season. Maccabi and Unicaja showed good defense in preseason and first official games. But Maccabi tends to run and Unicaja usually accepts high pace, but Unicaja prefer to use long possessions if fast break is not scored, so there is a chance that we will see at least one or two scoring quarters here.

Paid picks

  • Real Madrid – Crvena Zvezda
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