Today I have just one pick, but after it was send line have moved a lot and now there is no reason to post it. Two more positions were under review, but there are some reasons, why I decided to skip them.
Zalgiris – Lokomotiv Kuban
While A.Randolph is missing for Kuban they are on the same level as Zalgiris for me. They have high-skilled players like Delaney and Singleton, but all others are at the same level as Lithuanian national team members (half of Zalgiris squad). The difference between is current form. Russian team players are in well conditions, while Kalnietis, Seibutis, Javtokas, Jankunas looks heavy and not yet ready to show their real level. They can’t find their rhythm and physical conditions after Eurobasket silver. Russian team was able to prepare for the season in better way.
If Zalgiris would be at it best, I would give them -4 handicap against current Lokomotiv roster. And that’s why odds on Zalgiris drops. But Zalgiris is not playing well at the momemnt, and at current odds it’s very close to gambling to understand who will win today. I prefer to skip this match at this price.
Brose Baskets – Darussafaka
Brose Baskets is a team, which is full of Eurocup level players. Darussafaka is full of Euroleague level players with huge international experience (Erden, Arslan, Savas, Preldzic – are Turkish team players for example). For some reason – bookies see both teams as equal. And this reason is quite simple – Brose play basketball better at the moment, because they work with this coach for 2nd year. Darussafaka changed its last year roster almost completely and so far their game is not yet at required level.
Looking to the rosters – I would take Darussafaka here, because with teams with such class difference should get 50% estimation of winning or close to it. But seems that turkish team is not yet ready to play at required level. This is not going to be easy in Bamberg and would take +5.5 on away team easily. But +4 is just to close to outcome, because Brose might win this one 3-7 points and I don’t think that it’s good idead to jump on away side here.
- Sassari – CSKA Moscow