Olympiacos – CSKA

Daniel HackettHuge game awaits us in Greece tonight. In-form Olympiacos rides 3-0 ATS streak hosts undefeated CSKA. 
Olympiacos playing more speedy and aggressive basketball this season. Sfairopolous decided to use updated Euroleague rules to improve offensive performance of his team. They are using their size and one-on-one skills to get more drives to the basket and fast-breaks from Olympiacos this season, which can’t be blocked by fouls. Lojeski and Pananikolaou are getting the same amount of shots as Spanoulis and Printezis. More players involved into offensive game and so far that works great. In last 3 games Olympiacos managed to score 95, 91 and 90 points to Baskonia, Milan and Efes. At home they tend to play faster basketball and CSKA is actually perfect opponent to play against right now.

CSKA is perfect this season with 4-0 record, but their ATS record is 2-1-1 and could be 1-3. If Efes and Unics would be more lucky and healthier (Unics). Olympiacos is 3-0 ATS in last 3 games and they covered their spreads without any problems.

I see huge problems for CSKA defensively tonight, because they still don’t have defensive center on court. How they are going to stop Olympiacos penetrations to the basket? Another question is CSKA offense. It looked great against defensive pushovers like Unics, Galatasaray and Efes, but Olympiacos is totally different defensive league. They will push, press and leave Teodosic & De Colo out of their comfort zone.

This game is more important for Olympiacos, which is showing good ATS form lately. They have deep roster, well working basketball system and huge fan support. As for me they don’t deserve to be home underdogs. They are hot and will try to take revenge against CSKA, who won against them in both games last season.

As for the over/under we can expect 155 attacks per game with 1.043-1.15 pts/attack, what gives us 161-178 total expectation range. So 169.5 line looks fair here.

Prediction: Olympiacos 90 – 83 CSKA

Pick: Olympiacos +2 @ 1.92 Pinnacle

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