It is a must-win game for both squads, as the loser will be eliminated from the playoffs race, regardless of other results. A victory qualifies the defending champs unless Zalgiris, Laboral and Olympiacos all win, while Khimki is mathematically in the playoffs with a win. These team have already met three times this season; Khimki has won twice, including 82-85 in Madrid in Regular Season Round 6. But Madrid won their only Top 16 battle, 82-93 in Khimki.
Real is 1-5 ATS in last 6 and 4-7 at home. They are definetely not playing at the expected level and Khimki, which stormed Olympiacos last week is improving under new head coach. Khimki knows how to play against Real Madrid, they are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 SU this season against them. And to be honest it’s hard to understand why bookies are so confident about Real Madrid chances here. Yes, I can agree that Real roster is more experienced, but moment of form is absolute on visitors side here.
Fair handicap here should be around 5.5 points (basing on roster and potential), but Khimki has no other choice than to win tonight and I feel, that they can do a good game if they continue playing like they did in last 3 weeks.
Pick: Khimki +7 @ 1.95 Pinnacle
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