Euroleague Games Preview February 10th

David BlattThere are no official picks tonight due the correct lines, so I decided to share my thoughts on games. 

Darussafaka – Fenerbahce
My line: (+1.5/151)

Two friendly clubs (close structures) meets here and we can’t exclude some help from Fenerbahce to Darussafaka, which is now 9th in the league and doesn’t have h-2-h advantage over Efes, which is at 8th position.

Semih Erden is out for the hosts. Fenerbahce seems to be in rull roster. Zeljko Obradovic is known specialist of tanking games like this. He did this at PAO and there were some strange games with Fenerbahce.

Darussafaka at home won against CSKA, Real Madrid, Baskonia.. They are 2-1 this season against Fenerbahce and for sure will try to get important points in this derby. But they are in deep crisis right now (5 losses in a row), while Fenerbahce is playing very well, since Bogdanovic has returned to the team.

Best choice is to avoid bets on such games. But there is a sense (and value) to try on Darrusafaka +5, however now line moved to +3,5. Maybe money shows a correct direction…

Olympiakos – Zalgiris
My line: (-7/153.5)

zalgiris milaknisGreeks without Papapetrou and Young. Lojeski, Spanoulis are set to play against Zalgiris after missing last week game in Kazan. Zalgiris comes without roster problems.

Odds are looking a little bit strange here. Because Olympiacos won in Kaunas as road 2.5 points favorite. Basing on that result handicap should be -11.5 tonight. But we see only -8. The reason? Of course, it’s Zalgiris success over CSKA, Darussafaka and Barcelona and their 8-2 ATS record in away games. This team definitely know how to fight, but they miss big players who can win games. Olympiacos has such players and this is the main difference between these teams.

As for the total I see it very unpredictable. Both teams tends to play fast, but both had good defense, which may force opponents offense into long posessions. My system doesn’t show any advantage here.

FC Barcelona Regal – Galatasaray
My line: (-9.5/156)

Barcelona is not playing basketball that everyone expected before the start of the season, the injury problems are countless (usually its a sign of bad coaching skills or bad fitness coach). Many roster changes can’t create good team chemistry… I can’t understand why Barcelona bosses still believe in Bartzokas, who obviously fails to create a system here. He lost lost 46.3% and he is worst coach since 2001… What else they need to fire him? Maybe loss to Galatasaray?

Galatarasay playing very well during last weeks. They can’t win games with such roster quality, but they are playing above public expectations. The problem is that Barca very motivated and Galatasaray has less interest here. With all their problems Barcelona is 6-4 at home with losses to big names like Fenerbahce, Olympiacos, Real and Baskonia. Galatasaray doesn’t belong to the that level and catalans are clear favs here.

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