Market already have reacted to American injury for “Unics”, but is there any value to back Darussafaka tonight? Also you’ll find short preview for Real-Baskonia and Euroleague power rating for bettors.
Coty Clarke got injured last week in Bamberg and will miss about 6 weeks. Huge blow for Kazan, because they are not deep team and he was one of the best players at the start of the season. Russians Panin & Antipov will get more minutes, but their level is good only for Eurocup. Unics coach & players are not satisfied with team defense in recent game and all are eager to show its best version today.
Darussafaka is missing high-quality players, but they have very deep roster and many tactical solutions + great coach David Blatt. They are 1-1 in this Euroleague, but to be honest 0-2 would not a surprise. They managed to return from double digit deficit in Belgrade, did it again against Milan in recent home matc, but lost in the end. So far their game is far from David Blatt standards.
At first glance Unics looks bad with 0-2 in the standing. But they showed good level against Barcelona and Brose, but failed to win in close endings. I think this happens due the short rotation and coach mistakes. Not sure if Unics is able to overcome this difficulties, especially now, when they lost important starting five player. Anyway, at home they are looking capable of doing their best and winning this game.
Next game for Kazan will be in Moscow against CSKA, so they need to show their best and take first victory to avoid 0-4 start. I am not 100% sure about Unics winning this game in thriller end, but in first half home court advantage and motivation should be on home side.
Unics is normally at the same quality level as Darussafaka, so healthy home line should include -4.5 handicap. We have “-2” and it looks fair price, which already includes C.Clarke injury as a factor.
Lean: Unics to win 1st half @ 1.93 Pinnacle
Real Madrid – Baskonia
Baskonia has very difficult schedule this week. After Real Madrid they host Olympiacos and than travels to Malaga.. Bargnani (21 pts per game in Euroleague) is out for tonight as well as Beaubois. Only 6 players from normal Euroleague rotation is available for Saito Alonso tonight and we can expect give-away game from them.
Pablo Lasso has healthy roster. Real is looking really great and tops Euroleague power rating (see below) this week with 2-0 ATS win in starting weeks. I can’t find any motivation for Real to destroy Baskonia, but they will try..
As for the betting.. I don’t see much value in taking Real (-11.5) with game in Milan coming just in 2 days. If Baskonia will take early lead – than jump on Real Madrid..
Euroleague Power Raking (after 2 weeks)
Paid Picks & Previews
- Olympiacos – Milan
- Anadolu Efes – CSKA